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Markets & market failure

What is market failure?

Market failure happens when the free market allocates resources inefficiently, so total welfare (consumer + producer surplus) is not maximised. The gap between private and social costs/benefits is the key idea AQA wants you to explain, not just define.

Externalities

  • A externality is a cost or benefit falling on a third party not involved in the transaction.
  • Negative production externality (e.g. factory pollution): marginal social cost (MSC) exceeds marginal private cost (MPC), output is overproduced past the social optimum.
  • Negative consumption externality (e.g. smoking, passive smoking): marginal social benefit (MSB) is below marginal private benefit (MPB).
  • Positive externality (e.g. education, vaccinations): MSB exceeds MPB, the good is underconsumed relative to the social optimum.
  • On a diagram, the welfare loss triangle sits between the private and social equilibrium output levels.

Public goods and the free rider problem

  • Pure public goods have two defining features: non-excludable (cannot stop people using it once provided) and non-rivalrous (one person's use does not reduce availability for another).
  • Because of this, the free rider problem means private firms will not supply them profitably, so the market fails completely (missing market) — think street lighting, national defence, flood defences.
  • Quasi-public goods (e.g. toll roads, satellite TV) only partly meet these criteria.

Information gaps

  • Occurs when buyers or sellers lack the information needed to make a fully informed decision, leading to under- or over-consumption, e.g. second-hand cars (adverse selection), private pensions, cigarettes before health warnings.

Government intervention

  • Indirect taxes shift MPC up to meet MSC for negative externalities (e.g. UK Soft Drinks Industry Levy, fuel duty).
  • Subsidies lower MPC to encourage positive externality goods (e.g. renewable energy, public transport).
  • Regulation and legislation sets minimum standards or bans (e.g. smoking ban, emissions limits).
  • Tradable pollution permits (e.g. UK ETS) cap total pollution and let firms trade allowances.
  • State provision directly supplies public/merit goods (NHS, state schools).
  • Provision of information corrects information gaps (health warnings, energy labels).

Government failure

  • Government intervention can make things worse: policies can be poorly informed, have unintended consequences, involve regulatory capture, or shift costs elsewhere. Always evaluate — mention government failure to reach top mark bands.

Common mistakes

  • Confusing merit/demerit goods (information-gap driven, judged by society) with public goods (defined by non-rivalry/non-excludability).
  • Forgetting to distinguish MPC/MSC from MPB/MSB on diagrams — label axes and curves precisely.
  • Not evaluating: always weigh intervention against government failure and time lags.
  • Market failure = misallocation of resources where welfare is not maximised, shown by MSB not equalling MSC at the market output.
  • Negative production externality: MSC > MPC, meaning the good is overproduced beyond the socially optimal output.
  • Positive consumption externality: MSB > MPB, meaning the good is underconsumed relative to the social optimum.
  • Pure public goods have two properties: non-excludable and non-rivalrous, causing the free rider problem.
  • The free rider problem means pure public goods are typically not provided at all by the free market (a missing market).
  • Quasi-public goods (e.g. toll roads) have only some public good characteristics, unlike pure public goods.
  • Indirect taxes (e.g. UK Soft Drinks Industry Levy) are used to internalise negative externalities by shifting MPC towards MSC.
  • Subsidies are used to encourage merit goods and positive externalities by lowering MPC.
  • Tradable pollution permits (e.g. UK Emissions Trading Scheme) cap total pollution and allow firms to buy/sell allowances.
  • Information gaps occur when economic agents lack perfect information, causing under- or over-consumption (e.g. adverse selection in second-hand car markets).
  • Government failure occurs when intervention leads to a net welfare loss, e.g. through unintended consequences or regulatory capture.
  • Top-mark AQA answers always evaluate intervention against the risk of government failure and time lags.
Define market failure.
When the free market fails to allocate resources efficiently, so social welfare is not maximised (MSB does not equal MSC at market output).
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What happens to output in a negative production externality?
The good is overproduced because MSC exceeds MPC, so the market equilibrium output is above the socially optimal output.
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What happens to consumption in a positive consumption externality?
The good is underconsumed because MSB exceeds MPB, so market equilibrium consumption is below the socially optimal level.
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What are the two defining features of a pure public good?
Non-excludability (cannot stop non-payers using it) and non-rivalry (one person's use does not reduce availability to others).
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What is the free rider problem?
People can benefit from a good without paying for it, so private firms have no incentive to provide it, leading to a missing market.
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Give an example of a quasi-public good.
A toll road or satellite TV — it has some but not all characteristics of a pure public good (e.g. excludable but non-rivalrous up to a point).
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How do indirect taxes correct negative externalities?
They raise the marginal private cost (MPC) so it moves closer to the marginal social cost (MSC), reducing output towards the social optimum.
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Give a real UK example of an indirect tax used to correct market failure.
The Soft Drinks Industry Levy (sugar tax), aimed at reducing sugary drink consumption.
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How do tradable pollution permits work?
The government sets a total cap on emissions and issues permits; firms that pollute less can sell spare permits to firms that need more, creating a market incentive to cut pollution.
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What is an information gap?
A situation where buyers or sellers lack the information needed to make a fully informed decision, causing under- or over-consumption of a good.
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What is adverse selection, with an example?
When one side of a transaction has more information than the other, leading to poor-quality outcomes dominating the market, e.g. the second-hand car market ('lemons problem').
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What is government failure?
When government intervention in a market leads to a net loss of welfare, e.g. due to unintended consequences, poor information, or regulatory capture.
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Name three methods of government intervention to correct market failure.
Indirect taxes, subsidies, and regulation/legislation (also: state provision, tradable permits, provision of information).
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Why must AQA answers evaluate government intervention?
Because intervention can cause government failure (unintended consequences, time lags, cost), so top mark bands require weighing benefits against these risks.
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Demand, supply & elasticity

Demand

Demand is the quantity of a good consumers are willing and able to buy at a given price over a given time. The law of demand says quantity demanded falls as price rises, all else equal (ceteris paribus), giving a downward-sloping demand curve.

Non-price determinants that shift the whole curve: income, tastes, price of substitutes and complements, population, expectations of future price, advertising, interest rates (credit). A movement ALONG the curve is caused only by a change in the good's own price; a shift is caused by anything else.

Supply

Supply is the quantity producers are willing and able to sell at a given price. The law of supply says quantity supplied rises as price rises, giving an upward-sloping curve. Non-price shifters: costs of production, technology, indirect taxes and subsidies, number of firms, price of other goods (joint/competitive supply), weather (for agriculture), expectations.

Equilibrium

Market equilibrium is where quantity demanded equals quantity supplied (Qd=Qs), setting the equilibrium price and quantity. Excess demand (shortage) pushes price up; excess supply (surplus) pushes price down until equilibrium restores. Consumer and producer surplus are maximised at equilibrium (allocative efficiency), which is why AQA loves diagrams showing shifts and resulting surplus/shortage.

Elasticity

Price elasticity of demand (PED) = %change in Qd / %change in price. If PED > 1 demand is elastic; PED < 1 is inelastic; PED = 1 is unitary; PED = 0 is perfectly inelastic (vertical); PED = infinity is perfectly elastic (horizontal). PED is usually negative (inverse law) but AQA often quotes the magnitude only, so state whether you mean signed or absolute.

Key determinants of PED: availability of substitutes, proportion of income spent, necessity vs luxury, addictiveness, time period (elasticity rises over time as consumers adjust).

Income elasticity of demand (YED) = %change in Qd / %change in income. YED > 0 = normal good; YED < 0 = inferior good; YED > 1 = luxury/superior good.

Cross elasticity of demand (XED) = %change in Qd of good A / %change in price of good B. Positive XED = substitutes; negative XED = complements; the bigger the number (ignoring sign), the stronger the relationship.

Price elasticity of supply (PES) = %change in Qs / %change in price. Always positive because of the law of supply. PES depends on spare capacity, stock levels, time to increase production, and ease of factor mobility.

Common mistakes

  • Confusing a shift in the curve with a movement along it.
  • Forgetting elasticity changes along a straight-line demand curve (it is NOT constant).
  • Writing 'demand increases' when price falls — that is a movement, not a shift; only say 'demand increases' for a rightward shift caused by a non-price factor.
  • Not labelling axes (price on y-axis, quantity on x-axis) and not showing the shift direction with an arrow in diagrams.
  • The law of demand: quantity demanded falls as price rises, ceteris paribus, giving a downward-sloping curve.
  • The law of supply: quantity supplied rises as price rises, giving an upward-sloping curve.
  • A price change causes a movement ALONG a curve; a non-price factor causes a SHIFT of the whole curve.
  • Market equilibrium is where Qd = Qs, setting the equilibrium price and quantity.
  • PED = %change in quantity demanded / %change in price; PED > 1 is elastic, PED < 1 is inelastic, PED = 1 is unitary.
  • Perfectly inelastic demand has PED = 0 (vertical curve); perfectly elastic demand has PED = infinity (horizontal curve).
  • YED = %change in quantity demanded / %change in income; positive YED = normal good, negative YED = inferior good, YED > 1 = luxury good.
  • XED = %change in Qd of good A / %change in price of good B; positive XED = substitutes, negative XED = complements.
  • PES = %change in quantity supplied / %change in price and is always positive due to the law of supply.
  • Elasticity is not constant along a straight-line demand or supply curve — it varies at each point.
  • Excess demand (shortage) drives price up; excess supply (surplus) drives price down, until equilibrium is restored.
  • PED tends to become more elastic over time as consumers find substitutes and adjust behaviour.
State the law of demand.
As price rises, quantity demanded falls, ceteris paribus — giving a downward-sloping demand curve.
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State the law of supply.
As price rises, quantity supplied rises, giving an upward-sloping supply curve.
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What causes a movement along the demand curve versus a shift of the demand curve?
A change in the good's own price causes a movement along; a change in any non-price determinant (income, tastes, substitutes, etc.) causes a shift.
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Define market equilibrium.
The price and quantity where quantity demanded equals quantity supplied (Qd = Qs).
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What happens to price when there is excess demand (a shortage)?
Price rises until quantity demanded and quantity supplied are equal again.
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Give the formula for price elasticity of demand (PED).
PED = %change in quantity demanded / %change in price.
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What PED value means demand is perfectly inelastic, and what does the curve look like?
PED = 0; the demand curve is vertical.
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What PED value means demand is perfectly elastic, and what does the curve look like?
PED = infinity; the demand curve is horizontal.
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Name three determinants of PED.
Availability of substitutes, proportion of income spent on the good, and whether it is a necessity or luxury (time period also matters).
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Give the formula for income elasticity of demand (YED) and interpret YED > 1.
YED = %change in Qd / %change in income; YED > 1 means the good is a luxury/superior good.
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What does a negative YED indicate?
The good is an inferior good — demand falls as income rises.
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Give the formula for cross elasticity of demand (XED) and what a positive value means.
XED = %change in Qd of good A / %change in price of good B; a positive value means the goods are substitutes.
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What does a negative XED mean?
The two goods are complements — demand for A falls when the price of B rises.
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Give the formula for price elasticity of supply (PES) and its typical sign.
PES = %change in quantity supplied / %change in price; it is always positive because of the law of supply.
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Name two factors that make supply more price elastic.
Spare production capacity and higher stock levels (also shorter time needed to raise output, and mobile factors of production).
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Costs, revenue & competition

Costs: short run vs long run

In the short run at least one factor (usually capital) is fixed, so firms face fixed costs (FC) and variable costs (VC). Total cost (TC) = FC + VC. Average cost (AC) = TC/output. Marginal cost (MC) is the cost of producing one more unit.

  • Short-run MC first falls then rises due to the law of diminishing marginal returns: as more variable input (labour) is added to fixed capital, output per worker eventually falls.
  • MC always cuts AC and average variable cost (AVC) at their lowest points — a key diagram rule examiners check.
  • In the long run all factors are variable, so there are no fixed costs; firms can change scale entirely.

Economies and diseconomies of scale

Long-run average cost (LRAC) falls as output rises due to internal economies of scale: purchasing (bulk-buy discounts), technical (specialist machinery), managerial (specialist staff), financial (cheaper borrowing), and risk-bearing.

  • Diseconomies of scale raise LRAC at very large output — usually from poor communication and coordination difficulty in oversized firms.
  • The minimum efficient scale (MES) is the lowest output at which LRAC stops falling; industries with a high MES relative to market size tend toward oligopoly.

Revenue

  • Total revenue (TR) = price × quantity.
  • Average revenue (AR) = TR/Q = price (AR curve is the same as the demand curve).
  • Marginal revenue (MR) = change in TR from one more unit sold.
  • Under perfect competition AR = MR (horizontal, firm is a price taker). Under imperfect competition (monopoly, oligopoly, monopolistic competition) the demand curve slopes down, so MR falls twice as fast as AR — a common exam trip-up.

Profit maximisation and market structures

Firms maximise profit where MC = MR. The four market structures on the spec: perfect competition (many firms, homogeneous product, free entry/exit, perfect information), monopolistic competition (many firms, differentiated product, low barriers), oligopoly (few firms dominate, interdependent pricing, high barriers), and monopoly (one firm, high barriers, price maker).

Common mistakes

  • Confusing AC and MC curve shapes — MC is U-shaped and always crosses AC/AVC at their minimum.
  • Forgetting that in perfect competition supernormal profit attracts new entrants, shifting supply until only normal profit remains long run.
  • Mixing up AR/MR gradients for a downward-sloping demand curve — MR falls at twice the slope of AR/demand.
  • Treating economies of scale as automatic — beyond MES, diseconomies can push LRAC back up.
  • Total cost (TC) = fixed costs (FC) + variable costs (VC); only in the short run do fixed costs exist.
  • Marginal cost (MC) always cuts both average cost (AC) and average variable cost (AVC) at their minimum points.
  • Law of diminishing marginal returns explains why short-run MC eventually rises as more variable input is added to fixed capital.
  • Long-run average cost (LRAC) curve is U-shaped due to internal economies of scale then diseconomies of scale.
  • Minimum efficient scale (MES) is the lowest output level at which LRAC stops falling.
  • Average revenue (AR) = price, and the AR curve is identical to the firm's demand curve.
  • Profit-maximising output for any firm occurs where marginal cost equals marginal revenue (MC = MR).
  • Under perfect competition, AR = MR = price because the firm is a price taker facing a horizontal demand curve.
  • Under imperfect competition, MR falls at twice the rate (twice the gradient) of the downward-sloping AR/demand curve.
  • Perfect competition has 4 defining features: many firms, homogeneous product, free entry and exit, perfect information.
  • In perfect competition, supernormal profit in the short run attracts new entrants, driving profit down to normal profit in the long run.
  • The four market structures on the AQA spec are perfect competition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly, and monopoly.
What is the formula for total cost?
TC = fixed costs (FC) + variable costs (VC)
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Where does the MC curve always cross the AC and AVC curves?
At their minimum points
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Why does short-run marginal cost eventually rise?
The law of diminishing marginal returns: adding more variable input (labour) to fixed capital eventually reduces output per extra worker
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What shape is the long-run average cost (LRAC) curve and why?
U-shaped: it falls due to internal economies of scale, then rises due to diseconomies of scale at very large output
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Name three types of internal economies of scale.
Any three of: purchasing (bulk discounts), technical (specialist machinery), managerial (specialist staff), financial (cheaper borrowing), risk-bearing
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What is minimum efficient scale (MES)?
The lowest level of output at which long-run average cost stops falling
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What causes diseconomies of scale?
Poor communication and coordination problems that arise when a firm grows too large
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How is average revenue (AR) related to price?
AR = TR/Q = price, so the AR curve is the same as the firm's demand curve
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What is the universal profit-maximising rule for any firm?
Produce where marginal cost equals marginal revenue (MC = MR)
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Under perfect competition, how do AR and MR relate?
AR = MR = price, because the firm faces a horizontal (perfectly elastic) demand curve as a price taker
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Under imperfect competition, how does the MR curve compare to the AR curve?
MR falls at twice the gradient (twice as steeply) as the downward-sloping AR/demand curve
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List the 4 defining features of perfect competition.
Many firms, homogeneous product, free entry and exit, perfect information
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In perfect competition, what happens to supernormal profit in the long run?
It attracts new entrants, increasing supply until only normal profit remains
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Name the four market structures on the AQA A-Level spec.
Perfect competition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly, monopoly
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What defines an oligopoly?
A market dominated by a few large firms with interdependent pricing decisions and high barriers to entry
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National income & AD/AS

What is national income?

National income measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy over a year. The main measure is Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - the value of output produced within a country's borders. Real GDP adjusts for inflation, so it shows changes in the actual volume of output, not just price rises. GDP per capita divides GDP by population, giving a better sense of living standards than GDP alone.

Economic growth

Economic growth is the percentage increase in real GDP over time. Actual growth is a rise in real output; potential growth is a rise in the economy's productive capacity, shown by an outward shift of the Production Possibility Frontier (PPF) or Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS) curve. The economic cycle (or trade cycle) shows GDP fluctuating around its long-run trend, moving through boom, downturn, recession and recovery. A recession is technically defined in the UK as two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth.

Aggregate Demand (AD)

AD is total planned spending on goods and services in an economy at a given price level. The formula is AD = C + I + G + (X - M), where C is consumer spending (around 60-65% of UK GDP, the largest component), I is investment by firms, G is government spending, X is exports and M is imports. The AD curve slopes downward because of the real balance effect, the interest rate effect, and the international trade effect.

Aggregate Supply (AS)

AS shows the total output firms are willing to supply at each price level. Short-run AS (SRAS) slopes upward - higher prices raise profits so firms produce more. Long-run AS (LRAS) depends on the economy's productive capacity (labour, capital, land, enterprise, technology), not price level. Classical economists draw LRAS as vertical at full employment output; Keynesians draw it with a horizontal section (spare capacity), an upward-sloping section, then vertical at full capacity.

Equilibrium and shifts

Macroeconomic equilibrium occurs where AD meets AS, determining the price level and real output. A rightward shift of AD (e.g. tax cuts, lower interest rates, rising confidence, weaker pound boosting exports) raises output and price level. A rightward shift of LRAS (e.g. investment, innovation, improved education, immigration of workers) raises potential output without raising prices - genuine economic growth.

Common mistakes

  • Confusing a shift of AD with a movement along AD when the price level changes.
  • Forgetting M is subtracted in the AD formula, not added.
  • Mixing up SRAS shifts (costs of production, e.g. oil price) with LRAS shifts (productive capacity).
  • Saying growth and a rise in living standards are the same - GDP per capita and distribution matter too.
  • AD = C + I + G + (X - M): consumption, investment, government spending, net exports.
  • Consumer spending (C) is the largest component of UK AD at roughly 60-65% of GDP.
  • A UK recession is officially two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth.
  • Real GDP adjusts for inflation; nominal GDP does not.
  • The AD curve slopes downward due to the real balance, interest rate and international trade effects.
  • SRAS slopes upward; LRAS is vertical (classical view) at the full employment level of output.
  • Keynesian LRAS has three sections: horizontal (spare capacity), upward-sloping, then vertical.
  • A rightward LRAS shift represents genuine long-run economic growth via increased productive capacity.
  • GDP per capita = total GDP divided by population, a better measure of living standards than GDP alone.
  • Actual growth = rise in real GDP; potential growth = rise in productive capacity (outward PPF shift).
  • The economic cycle has four phases: boom, downturn, recession, recovery.
  • A weaker pound tends to boost exports (X) and shift AD rightward, all else equal.
What is the formula for Aggregate Demand?
AD = C + I + G + (X - M)
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What percentage of UK GDP does consumer spending (C) typically represent?
Roughly 60-65%, the largest component of AD.
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What is the official UK definition of a recession?
Two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth.
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Why does the AD curve slope downward?
Because of the real balance effect, the interest rate effect, and the international trade effect.
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What shape is SRAS and why?
Upward-sloping, because higher prices raise firms' profits so they supply more in the short run.
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How does the classical view draw LRAS?
Vertical, at the full employment level of output - not affected by price level.
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How does the Keynesian view draw LRAS?
Horizontal (spare capacity), then upward-sloping, then vertical at full capacity.
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What is the difference between actual and potential growth?
Actual growth is a rise in real GDP; potential growth is a rise in productive capacity, shown by an outward PPF or LRAS shift.
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What causes a rightward shift of LRAS?
Increases in productive capacity, e.g. investment, innovation, improved education/skills, more workers.
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Why use GDP per capita instead of GDP alone?
It accounts for population size, giving a more accurate picture of average living standards.
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Name the four phases of the economic cycle.
Boom, downturn, recession, recovery.
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What effect does a weaker pound have on AD, all else equal?
It boosts exports (X), which shifts AD to the right.
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What is the difference between real and nominal GDP?
Real GDP is adjusted for inflation; nominal GDP is not.
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What does the Production Possibility Frontier (PPF) show?
The maximum combinations of goods/services an economy can produce with given resources; an outward shift shows potential growth.
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What is a common mistake when AD shifts vs a movement along AD?
A change in the price level causes a movement along the AD curve; a change in a component (C, I, G, X-M) causes a shift of the whole curve.
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Macroeconomic policy

What macro policy is trying to do

Governments juggle four main objectives: low unemployment, low and stable inflation (the Bank of England targets 2% CPI, with a 1% tolerance band either side), sustainable economic growth, and a healthy balance of payments on the current account. These can conflict, so policy is a constant trade-off exercise.

Monetary policy

Run by the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which meets roughly every six weeks and votes on Bank Rate. Raising Bank Rate raises the cost of borrowing, cools consumer spending and investment, and should bring inflation down; cutting it does the opposite. Quantitative easing (QE) is the unconventional tool: the Bank creates new money electronically to buy government bonds (gilts), pushing down long-term interest rates and boosting the money supply when Bank Rate is already near zero. Quantitative tightening (QT) reverses this by selling bonds back.

Fiscal policy

Controlled by the Treasury via the Chancellor's Budget. Expansionary fiscal policy means higher government spending and/or lower taxes to boost aggregate demand, usually financed by borrowing (widening the budget deficit). Contractionary (or 'austerity') fiscal policy cuts spending or raises taxes to reduce a deficit. The UK's fiscal rules (as set by the Chancellor) typically require the current budget to balance or be in surplus within a rolling period, and for debt as a share of GDP to be falling by the final year of the forecast. Automatic stabilisers (like unemployment benefits and progressive income tax) work without any new decisions being made.

Supply-side policy

Aims to shift long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) rightwards, raising the economy's productive potential without triggering inflation. Market-based measures include deregulation, privatisation, cutting income tax to boost work incentives, and reducing trade union power. Interventionist measures include government spending on education, training, infrastructure, and R&D subsidies.

Common mistakes

  • Don't confuse fiscal policy (government/Treasury) with monetary policy (Bank of England) — examiners love this trip-up.
  • QE is not 'printing physical money' — it's a central bank asset-purchase programme.
  • A budget deficit (annual borrowing) is different from the national debt (total accumulated borrowing).
  • Supply-side policies work over the long run; monetary and fiscal policy affect demand in the short run.
  • Time lags matter: fiscal policy can take months to implement (recognition, decision, and implementation lags); monetary policy changes take around 18-24 months to fully feed through the economy.
  • The Bank of England's inflation target is 2% CPI, with a symmetric 1% tolerance band (1-3%)
  • The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets Bank Rate roughly every six weeks
  • Quantitative easing (QE) involves the central bank creating money to buy government bonds and lower long-term interest rates
  • Fiscal policy is set by the Treasury/Chancellor in the Budget; monetary policy is set by the Bank of England
  • A budget deficit is annual government borrowing; the national debt is the total stock of accumulated borrowing
  • Expansionary fiscal policy means higher spending and/or lower taxes to boost aggregate demand
  • Automatic stabilisers (like benefits and progressive tax) reduce fluctuations without new policy decisions
  • Supply-side policy aims to shift long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) rightwards to raise productive potential
  • Market-based supply-side policies include deregulation, privatisation and tax cuts to boost incentives
  • Interventionist supply-side policies include state spending on education, training and infrastructure
  • Monetary policy changes typically take 18-24 months to fully work through the economy
  • The four main macro policy objectives are low unemployment, low stable inflation, sustainable growth and balance of payments equilibrium
What is the Bank of England's inflation target?
2% CPI, with a 1% tolerance band either side (1-3%)
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Who sets Bank Rate and how often do they meet?
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), roughly every six weeks
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What is quantitative easing (QE)?
The central bank creates new money to buy government bonds, lowering long-term interest rates and boosting the money supply
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What is quantitative tightening (QT)?
The reverse of QE: the central bank sells bonds back, reducing the money supply
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Who controls fiscal policy in the UK?
The Treasury, via the Chancellor's Budget
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What is the difference between a budget deficit and the national debt?
A budget deficit is how much the government borrows in one year; the national debt is the total accumulated borrowing over time
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What is expansionary fiscal policy?
Increasing government spending and/or cutting taxes to raise aggregate demand
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What are automatic stabilisers?
Mechanisms like unemployment benefits and progressive taxation that reduce economic fluctuations automatically, without new policy decisions
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What is the aim of supply-side policy?
To shift long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) rightwards, raising the economy's productive potential
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Give two examples of market-based supply-side policies.
Deregulation and privatisation (also: cutting income tax, reducing trade union power)
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Give two examples of interventionist supply-side policies.
Government spending on education/training and infrastructure investment
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How long do monetary policy changes typically take to fully affect the economy?
Around 18-24 months
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What are the four main objectives of UK macroeconomic policy?
Low unemployment, low and stable inflation, sustainable economic growth, and balance of payments equilibrium
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What are the three types of fiscal policy lag?
Recognition lag, decision lag and implementation lag
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International trade & development

Why countries trade

Comparative advantage (Ricardo) says a country should specialise in producing goods where its opportunity cost is lowest, even if another country is better at making everything (absolute advantage). Trade lets both sides consume beyond their own production possibility frontier.

  • Assumptions behind the theory: no transport costs, perfect factor mobility, constant returns to scale - all unrealistic, so real-world gains are smaller than the simple model suggests.
  • Terms of trade = index of export prices divided by import prices, x100. A rise means a country can buy more imports per unit of exports (usually seen as favourable).

Trade patterns and the WTO

The World Trade Organization (WTO) sets global trade rules and runs a dispute settlement system; it promotes trade liberalisation through rounds of negotiation (the Doha round has stalled since 2001). The UK trades mostly with the EU and under WTO terms with the rest of the world since leaving the EU customs union in 2021.

Protectionism - the tools and their effects

  • Tariffs: a tax on imports, raises price to consumers, raises government revenue, creates a welfare loss (deadweight loss triangles).
  • Import quotas: a physical limit on quantity imported; raises domestic price without raising government revenue (unless quota licences are auctioned).
  • Subsidies to domestic producers: lowers their costs so they can compete with cheaper imports, but costs taxpayers and can breach WTO rules.
  • Non-tariff barriers: technical standards, health and safety rules, red tape - harder to measure but very effective at restricting trade.

Arguments FOR protectionism: infant industry protection, protecting jobs, national security (e.g. steel, food), anti-dumping (selling below cost to destroy rivals), correcting a large trade deficit.

Arguments AGAINST: raises prices for consumers, reduces choice, invites retaliation (trade wars), reduces efficiency (loses comparative advantage gains), can prop up inefficient 'zombie' firms indefinitely.

Trading blocs and common mistakes

  • Free trade area: members remove tariffs between themselves but set their own external tariffs (e.g. old EFTA).
  • Customs union: free trade area plus a common external tariff (the EU is a customs union and single market).
  • Common mistake: students confuse a customs union with a single market - a single market also removes non-tariff barriers and allows free movement of labour and capital, not just goods.
  • Trade creation (switching from a high-cost domestic producer to a low-cost partner) is welfare-improving; trade diversion (switching from a low-cost non-member to a higher-cost member because of the tariff) is welfare-reducing. Do not mix these up.

Economic development

Development is broader than growth - measured by the Human Development Index (HDI), which combines income (GNI per capita), life expectancy and education, not just GDP. Barriers to development include debt, poor infrastructure, primary product dependency, corruption and civil conflict. Strategies include trade liberalisation, aid, debt relief, FDI, and diversifying away from primary commodities (the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis says primary product prices fall relative to manufactured goods over time).

  • Comparative advantage means specialising where opportunity cost is lowest, not where a country is simply best at production (absolute advantage).
  • Terms of trade index = (average export price index / average import price index) x 100.
  • A tariff raises government revenue and consumer prices; an import quota raises consumer prices but does not raise government revenue unless licences are sold.
  • The WTO's Doha development round of trade talks has been stalled since 2001.
  • A customs union has a common external tariff; a free trade area does not.
  • A single market goes further than a customs union by also allowing free movement of labour, capital and removing non-tariff barriers.
  • Trade creation improves welfare; trade diversion reduces welfare by shifting purchases to a less efficient producer inside a trading bloc.
  • The UK left the EU customs union and single market fully from 1 January 2021, now trading with the EU under the Trade and Cooperation Agreement.
  • The Human Development Index (HDI) combines income, life expectancy and education, scored between 0 and 1.
  • The Prebisch-Singer hypothesis argues primary commodity prices fall relative to manufactured goods over the long run, harming developing exporters.
  • Dumping means exporting a good below its cost of production (or below the home market price) to undercut foreign rivals.
  • Infant industry protection argues temporary tariffs let new domestic industries grow until they can compete internationally.
What is comparative advantage?
Producing a good at a lower opportunity cost than another country, the basis for mutually beneficial trade even if one country has an absolute advantage in everything.
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Give the terms of trade formula.
(Index of export prices / index of import prices) x 100.
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Difference between a tariff and a quota?
A tariff is a tax on imports raising government revenue; a quota is a physical limit on import quantity, raising price but not raising revenue (unless licences are auctioned).
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What is trade creation?
When joining a customs union shifts purchases from a less efficient domestic producer to a more efficient partner-country producer, improving welfare.
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What is trade diversion?
When a common external tariff shifts purchases away from a low-cost non-member towards a higher-cost member, reducing welfare.
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Customs union vs single market - key difference?
A single market removes non-tariff barriers and allows free movement of labour and capital as well as goods; a customs union only shares a common external tariff on goods.
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What is dumping?
Exporting goods below cost of production or below the home-market price to undercut and damage foreign competitors.
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What does the WTO do?
Sets global trade rules, runs a dispute settlement system and promotes trade liberalisation via negotiation rounds (Doha stalled since 2001).
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What three things make up the HDI?
Income (GNI per capita), life expectancy, and education (mean/expected years of schooling), scored 0 to 1.
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State the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis.
Primary commodity export prices tend to fall relative to manufactured goods prices over the long run, harming developing countries reliant on commodity exports.
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Give one argument for protectionism.
Infant industry protection: temporary tariffs let new domestic industries grow until able to compete internationally (also: jobs, national security, anti-dumping).
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Give one argument against protectionism.
It raises prices and reduces choice for consumers, can trigger retaliation/trade wars, and reduces efficiency gains from specialisation.
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When did the UK fully leave the EU customs union and single market?
1 January 2021, moving to trade under the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement.
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What is a non-tariff barrier?
A restriction on trade that is not a tax or quota, e.g. technical standards, health and safety rules or excessive red tape/paperwork.
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